Cailungo vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
52.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CAI
1 - 3
JUV
15%
25%
61%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
FIO
3 - 0
CAI
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
TFI
2 - 0
CAI
80%
15%
6%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 1
TFI
7%
15%
78%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
COS
3 - 0
CAI
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 3
TPE
26%
23%
52%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 1
FOL
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
TPE
2 - 2
LIB
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 2
SGI
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 26 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
FIO
3 - 3
LIB
11%
18%
71%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |