Cailungo vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CAI
1 - 6
JUV
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FIO
6 - 0
CAI
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
COS
5 - 1
CAI
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CAI
5 - 2
FAE
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAI
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 1
VIR
21%
26%
53%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 1
FOL
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 0
FIO
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
COS
5 - 0
FOL
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 4
TPE
11%
20%
69%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |