Cailungo vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 1
FIO
38%
24%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
CAI
68%
21%
12%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 2
PEN
30%
26%
45%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAI
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 0
CAI
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
COS
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 1
FOL
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
FOL
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
VIR
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 4
FOL
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |