Cailungo vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
FAE
0 - 2
CAI
74%
18%
9%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 1
LIB
20%
26%
54%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 1
TPE
16%
22%
62%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
2 - 1
VIR
18%
24%
59%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 2
DOM
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 2
PEN
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 4
FIO
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TFI
2 - 0
FOL
81%
14%
5%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 2
FAE
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
FOL
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |