Cailungo vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
COS
1 - 0
CAI
75%
17%
8%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 3
JUV
17%
24%
59%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 0
CAI
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TPE
2 - 0
CAI
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 3
VIR
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
3 - 0
FOL
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 0
FOL
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SGI
2 - 0
FOL
33%
25%
43%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
3 - 3
TFI
15%
23%
62%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 3
FIO
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |