Cailungo vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 0
CAI
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CAI
0 - 1
VIR
17%
21%
62%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
CAI
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CAI
2 - 1
PEN
16%
21%
63%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
TFI
3 - 3
CAI
84%
13%
4%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 0
CAI
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
PEN
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 2
FOL
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 5
JUV
22%
26%
52%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 3
FAE
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |