Cailungo vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
71.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 4
CAI
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CAI
0 - 0
MUR
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
CAI
1 - 1
SGI
41%
25%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 1
CAI
72%
19%
9%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CAI
1 - 2
TPE
7%
16%
77%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOL
57%
23%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 0
FIO
19%
24%
58%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 4
FIO
8%
18%
73%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 2
VIR
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
TPE
2 - 3
FIO
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |