Cailungo vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 1
FAE
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 4
LIB
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
COS
1 - 2
CAI
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 4
VIR
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 5
FOL
22%
26%
53%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FIO
5 - 0
COS
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
FIO
31%
25%
43%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 2
JUV
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 0
TFI
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
0 - 3
TPE
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |