Cailungo vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
61.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 5
CAI
60%
21%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 2
TPE
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
DOM
3 - 0
CAI
48%
25%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CAI
4 - 1
TFI
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 0
CAI
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 1
FIO
30%
24%
46%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FIO
4 - 2
DOM
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
4 - 3
FIO
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 1
FIO
18%
23%
60%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |