Cailungo vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
66.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CAI
1 - 1
COS
22%
25%
53%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
JUV
4 - 1
CAI
71%
20%
9%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
VIR
2 - 2
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
CAI
2 - 3
FIO
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 1
LIB
24%
24%
53%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FIO
4 - 1
FIO
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
FIO
5 - 1
FAE
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 2
FIO
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
FIO
3 - 2
FAE
48%
23%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 1
COS
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |