Cailungo vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
CAI
0 - 6
FIO
10%
17%
73%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
DOM
4 - 0
CAI
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
TFI
4 - 1
CAI
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 0
CAI
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CAI
3 - 1
MUR
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 2
LIB
23%
25%
51%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
2 - 2
FAE
43%
24%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 2
FOL
18%
25%
57%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIR
29%
23%
48%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
TFI
4 - 0
FIO
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |