Cailungo vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 1
LIB
24%
24%
53%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CAI
1 - 3
JUV
15%
25%
61%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
FIO
3 - 0
CAI
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
TFI
2 - 0
CAI
80%
15%
6%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 1
TFI
7%
15%
78%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
TPE
15%
18%
68%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 2
TFI
13%
21%
66%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
FAE
4 - 2
FIO
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 3
DOM
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
FIO
3 - 3
LIB
11%
18%
71%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |