Cailungo vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
60.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 2
FIO
6%
18%
76%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 0
CAI
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 3
VIR
7%
18%
75%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 4
SGI
15%
21%
64%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
CAI
1 - 3
TFI
7%
20%
73%
|
34 | 67 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 3
COS
9%
19%
72%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 3
FAE
73%
16%
12%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 3
JUV
21%
22%
57%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
4 - 3
FAE
19%
20%
61%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
FAE
3 - 1
SMA
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |