Cailungo vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TPE
5 - 2
CAI
80%
15%
6%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CAI
2 - 2
JUV
24%
24%
53%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SGI
1 - 1
CAI
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CAI
3 - 2
VIR
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAI
0 - 3
TPE
6%
12%
82%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
FAE
1 - 0
SGI
60%
21%
20%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FAE
0 - 2
TPE
8%
17%
75%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
JUV
3 - 3
FAE
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
COS
1 - 0
FAE
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
VIR
1 - 3
FAE
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |