Cailungo vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 4
LIB
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
COS
1 - 2
CAI
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 4
VIR
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 5
FOL
22%
26%
53%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
CAI
58%
22%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FAE
0 - 0
COS
40%
25%
36%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FAE
1 - 1
SGI
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 2
FAE
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DOM
1 - 0
FAE
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FAE
2 - 4
VIR
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |