Cailungo vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
47.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TFI
3 - 1
CAI
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 5
CAI
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 1
COS
21%
23%
57%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 0
CAI
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 4
VIR
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FAE
1 - 1
COS
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
FAE
1 - 0
FIO
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FAE
1 - 2
VIR
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 0
FAE
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FAE
0 - 2
MUR
65%
22%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -2 |