Cailungo vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 1
CAI
75%
17%
8%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 1
DOM
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 2
CAI
78%
16%
6%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PEN
4 - 2
CAI
78%
15%
6%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SGI
1 - 1
CAI
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FAE
2 - 0
PEN
33%
27%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
FAE
2 - 2
JUV
36%
26%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SGI
1 - 2
FAE
30%
24%
47%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
FAE
2 - 0
DOM
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
FAE
0 - 4
COS
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |