Caiçara vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
57.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
PIA
3 - 0
CAI
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 3
PIC
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2012 |
PIA
5 - 0
CAI
74%
16%
11%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
PAR
4 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
11%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
CAC
4 - 0
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 0
PAR
48%
25%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 2
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
RIV
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 2
PIA
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
PIA
1 - 2
RIV
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |