Caiçara vs Piauí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
53.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 2
RIV
18%
23%
59%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 2
PAR
23%
22%
56%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAI
2 - 2
FLA
28%
25%
47%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 3
CAI
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 0
4DE
19%
21%
61%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 2
PAR
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 0
PIA
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 1
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 1
PIA
45%
26%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 5
SAL
31%
27%
42%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -3 |