Caiçara vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
58.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 1
CAI
66%
20%
14%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 1
PIA
23%
23%
53%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 2
RIV
18%
23%
59%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 2
PAR
23%
22%
56%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAI
2 - 2
FLA
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
RIV
27%
27%
46%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
FLA
50%
26%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 2
PAR
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 0
PAR
59%
23%
19%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 2
PAR
23%
22%
56%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |