Caiçara vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
55.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAI
2 - 2
FLA
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 3
CAI
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 0
4DE
19%
21%
61%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 1
CAI
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
CAI
78%
15%
7%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
4DE
45%
26%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 3
CAI
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
PAR
55%
24%
22%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 3
PAR
48%
25%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
PIA
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |