Caiçara vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
56.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CAI
3 - 3
FLA
22%
23%
55%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
4DE
2 - 1
CAI
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CAI
2 - 1
COR
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAI
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 7
RIV
20%
22%
58%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 0
4DE
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 1
PAR
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
COR
2 - 0
PAR
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 0
PIA
56%
24%
21%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |