Caiçara vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PIA
2 - 0
CAI
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 2
ALT
17%
21%
63%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
CAI
3 - 3
PIC
24%
24%
52%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
5 - 0
CAI
66%
21%
14%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAI
2 - 1
COR
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ALT
4 - 1
FLA
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
4 - 1
COR
64%
20%
17%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 1
FLA
79%
15%
6%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 2
RIV
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 1
FLA
57%
25%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |