CAI vs Racing Olavarría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
RSA
2 - 2
CAI
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
CIP
3 - 0
CAI
48%
23%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CAI
2 - 3
DFR
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
RIV
3 - 2
CAI
21%
24%
56%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAI
5 - 4
CSE
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Olavarría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
RAO
1 - 1
CSE
38%
26%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
DFR
5 - 2
RAO
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
MAI
3 - 2
RAO
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
RAO
2 - 0
GBR
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ALV
1 - 3
RAO
54%
25%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |