CAI vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
35%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ALD
0 - 2
CAI
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CAI
4 - 0
MER
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
BUC
0 - 1
CAI
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 1
BEL
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
PLA
4 - 1
CAI
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 1
IRV
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
SMA
1 - 1
QUI
42%
29%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 0
TFE
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
CAU
0 - 0
QUI
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 1
DYJ
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |