CAI vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
46%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
SMA
4 - 0
CAI
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
CAI
0 - 0
QUI
32%
28%
39%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CAI
3 - 0
BHU
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2007 |
IRV
3 - 4
CAI
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
CAI
2 - 0
TAL
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 0
CAU
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
RAF
3 - 2
CHI
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
GOD
0 - 2
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2007 |
IRV
1 - 0
CHI
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 3
BEL
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |