CAI vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
AND
4 - 0
CAI
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CAI
2 - 0
INS
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 0
CAI
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CAI
3 - 1
ALB
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
DYJ
2 - 1
CAI
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
IRV
0 - 1
CHA
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
IRV
2 - 0
CAU
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
AND
1 - 1
IRV
41%
25%
35%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
IRV
0 - 1
INS
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 3
IRV
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |