CAI vs Independiente Neuquén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 2
CAI
33%
24%
42%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 0
CIP
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAI
2 - 2
GBR
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 1
CAI
15%
20%
65%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CAI
3 - 0
DRO
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Neuquén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
INN
3 - 0
ALI
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
DRO
1 - 3
INN
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
INN
2 - 1
CGB
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
GBR
3 - 1
INN
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
INN
67%
20%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |