CAI vs Independiente Neuquén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
CAI
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CAI
2 - 0
TFE
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
ALV
2 - 0
CAI
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 0
DEP
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
DEP
4 - 0
CAI
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Independiente Neuquén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
INN
1 - 1
CGB
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GUT
2 - 0
INN
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
INN
0 - 0
FER
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 2
INN
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
INN
1 - 3
CIP
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |