CAI vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 2
PAT
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
RAF
5 - 1
CAI
65%
22%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CAI
3 - 1
CEN
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SMA
1 - 2
CAI
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 1
BEL
30%
29%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FER
2 - 0
RAF
24%
29%
46%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 0
FER
50%
27%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
SMA
41%
30%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
FER
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
SMA
36%
30%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |