Torneo Federal A PlayOffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
CAI vs Sportivo Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
33.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2014 |
CSE
2 - 1
CAI
39%
23%
38%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GBR
1 - 1
CAI
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 0
UNI
47%
25%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 3
CAI
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CAI
2 - 0
RAO
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2014 |
CSE
2 - 1
CAI
39%
23%
38%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
DFR
2 - 4
CSE
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CSE
1 - 2
DFR
41%
24%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CSE
3 - 1
RSA
30%
29%
41%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 1
CSE
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |