CAI vs Dep. Roca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
CGB
1 - 2
CAI
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
INN
0 - 3
CAI
24%
23%
54%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 0
DEP
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CIP
2 - 2
CAI
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GBR
1 - 1
CAI
56%
22%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DRO
2 - 1
ALI
76%
16%
9%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DRO
2 - 0
GBR
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
DRO
2 - 1
CGB
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
INN
2 - 1
DRO
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
DRO
0 - 3
DEP
57%
22%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |