CAI vs Cruz del Sur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
RAC
3 - 1
CAI
26%
23%
50%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 1
GUT
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
9DJ
1 - 0
CAI
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 0
SLP
55%
24%
22%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MAI
2 - 2
CAI
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz del Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
CDS
4 - 1
SDM
34%
22%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
BXC
3 - 1
CDS
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
CDS
2 - 3
GER
41%
23%
37%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HUR
1 - 0
CDS
82%
13%
5%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CDS
3 - 4
SAN
20%
21%
59%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -2 |