CAI vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
RAO
1 - 2
CAI
36%
26%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAI
2 - 0
RSA
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
DFR
1 - 0
CAI
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CAI
3 - 1
RIV
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CSE
0 - 2
CAI
41%
25%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ALV
0 - 0
RSA
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 1
ALV
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
ALV
0 - 0
JUU
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CIP
2 - 0
ALV
50%
25%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
ALV
4 - 0
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |