Cagliari vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CAG
1 - 1
GAZ
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
CAG
1 - 0
ZAR
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
CAG
4 - 3
UDI
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CES
0 - 1
CAG
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAG
0 - 1
PAL
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 1
GEN
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACD
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 2
MOD
32%
26%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
CRO
0 - 0
ACD
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 0
LAT
36%
30%
34%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |