Cagliari vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAG
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
CAG
0 - 2
BRI
87%
9%
4%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1973 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAG
17%
23%
60%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1973 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAG
28%
28%
44%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 1973 |
CAG
0 - 1
ACM
34%
26%
39%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
VIC
3 - 1
TAR
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
BRI
3 - 0
VIC
38%
24%
39%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1973 |
VIC
0 - 0
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
ATL
0 - 1
VIC
47%
31%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
VIC
1 - 0
TER
62%
24%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |