Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 6-2
Cagliari vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
LEC
3 - 1
CAG
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
CAG
2 - 0
SIE
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
FIO
2 - 1
CAG
48%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 3
CAG
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CAG
1 - 0
BOL
36%
26%
39%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
TRI
3 - 4
EMP
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
SAL
3 - 3
TRI
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
FCC
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 3
CAG
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
CES
1 - 0
TRI
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |