Cagliari vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
24.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
CAT
3 - 1
CAG
48%
30%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 1
LEC
53%
28%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 0
PRG
56%
28%
16%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
BOL
0 - 1
CAG
53%
28%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
CAG
0 - 0
PAD
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
TRI
1 - 0
CAM
58%
26%
16%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
ASS
0 - 0
TRI
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
LEC
2 - 2
TRI
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
TRI
2 - 1
CAT
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
EMP
1 - 2
TRI
49%
27%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |