Cagliari vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
18%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
22.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 0
GEN
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 2
UDI
25%
26%
50%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
ARZ
3 - 0
CAG
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 1
ACM
24%
27%
50%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
REG
0 - 0
CAG
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 0
USC
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
PIS
3 - 1
USC
67%
20%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
USC
1 - 1
PIA
60%
20%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
BOL
2 - 3
USC
52%
27%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
USC
0 - 2
VER
23%
24%
54%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |