Cagliari vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
ASC
2 - 2
CAG
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAG
45%
30%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
CAG
3 - 0
PIS
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ASS
0 - 0
CAG
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
CAG
1 - 2
FCC
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
USC
0 - 0
ASS
43%
31%
26%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
USC
1 - 1
FCC
39%
32%
29%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
CES
1 - 0
USC
61%
25%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
USC
3 - 0
MOD
53%
30%
17%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
BRE
0 - 0
USC
63%
23%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |