Cagliari vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
SAL
3 - 2
CAG
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CAG
2 - 0
GEN
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
TRI
1 - 2
CAG
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CAG
1 - 1
VER
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAG
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 1
ATL
15%
27%
58%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PES
1 - 0
AVE
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
GEN
1 - 1
AVE
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
AVE
0 - 0
COM
32%
29%
40%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
PIA
2 - 0
AVE
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | -1 |