Cagliari vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
34.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
CAG
3 - 0
MES
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
TRI
1 - 0
CAG
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
CAG
1 - 0
PIS
28%
32%
40%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
CAG
0 - 0
ANC
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
PES
0 - 0
CAG
67%
22%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
PES
2 - 1
AVE
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
AVE
4 - 0
COS
50%
28%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
REG
4 - 1
AVE
46%
29%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
AVE
1 - 1
TOR
25%
31%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
SSB
0 - 2
AVE
35%
31%
34%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |