Cagliari vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1954 |
ACM
1 - 1
CAG
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
CAG
3 - 0
PRO
48%
23%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
CAG
2 - 0
SAL
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
ATP
2 - 1
CAG
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
CAG
3 - 2
COM
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1954 |
ATP
2 - 0
USA
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
USA
2 - 1
FAN
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
VER
4 - 1
USA
64%
20%
17%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
USA
3 - 2
TRE
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
USA
4 - 2
MOD
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |