Cagliari vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
CRO
2 - 1
CAG
20%
24%
57%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
CAG
3 - 0
GEN
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2001 |
TER
1 - 0
CAG
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
CAG
0 - 0
SIE
73%
17%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
ANC
1 - 1
CAG
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
TRE
1 - 0
SIE
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
TRE
0 - 3
PIA
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
GEN
0 - 0
TRE
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
TRE
1 - 1
TER
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
PES
0 - 3
TRE
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |