Cagliari vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
CAG
1 - 0
VIC
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
CAT
3 - 1
CAG
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
MES
3 - 1
CAG
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
CAG
2 - 0
BRE
62%
20%
17%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
CAG
1 - 1
PAV
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
VER
1 - 2
TRE
69%
18%
12%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
TRE
1 - 0
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
TRE
1 - 0
SAL
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
PRO
1 - 1
TRE
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
COM
1 - 0
TRE
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |