Cagliari vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.7%
2-0
16%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1977 |
TER
1 - 2
CAG
40%
31%
30%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
CAG
2 - 1
PES
59%
24%
16%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 0
CAG
37%
31%
32%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
CAG
4 - 1
BRE
65%
23%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
CAT
1 - 2
CAG
36%
33%
32%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1977 |
TAR
0 - 0
BRE
52%
29%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
TAR
3 - 1
TER
48%
30%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
ASS
2 - 1
TAR
59%
27%
14%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
TAR
1 - 1
CAT
53%
29%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 1
TAR
51%
30%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |