Cagliari vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 1
HSV
39%
24%
38%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 0
CAG
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CAG
2 - 0
MAR
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
CAG
3 - 0
PIS
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 0
TER
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 3
CAR
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 0
MES
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
PRG
1 - 0
SPA
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SPA
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CTT
1 - 3
SPA
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +2 |