Cagliari vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1979 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAG
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
CAG
1 - 0
RIM
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAG
35%
34%
32%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1979 |
CAG
2 - 2
FCC
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
CAG
1 - 0
NOC
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 0
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
RIM
0 - 0
SPA
46%
32%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 1
UDI
48%
29%
23%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
ASS
2 - 0
SPA
61%
25%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 1
PIS
49%
29%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |