Cagliari vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
SAM
1 - 2
CAG
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
MOD
2 - 2
CAG
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
CAG
0 - 1
VIC
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
CAG
0 - 0
PRG
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
ACM
2 - 3
CAG
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
COM
2 - 1
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 0
TER
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
CES
0 - 2
SPA
71%
18%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
SPA
2 - 0
FCC
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 5
AVE
59%
26%
15%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |