Cagliari vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
CAG
0 - 1
INT
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1965 |
CAG
0 - 1
ATL
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
ACM
2 - 2
CAG
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
CAG
1 - 0
BRE
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
CAG
0 - 0
ATL
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
LAZ
2 - 2
SPA
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1965 |
SPA
2 - 0
RPO
69%
17%
15%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
SPA
2 - 2
JUV
28%
28%
45%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
SPA
2 - 0
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
BOL
1 - 3
SPA
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |